Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. World Championship Q

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 273, period of time : 09-05-2009 - 03-29-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.65, variance V = 2.43, SD = 1.56, E/V = 1.09, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 51.7%, draw = 23.4%, P2 = 24.9%, total 0 = 7.0%, over 2.5 = 50.6%, under 2.5 = 49.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.65, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.00, variance V = 1.11, SD = 1.05, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.65, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.21, Min = -4, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)